Coming into the New Year, price action on the key USD/JPY pair (a daily chart of which is shown) has made a very decisive break above a strong downtrend resistance line that has been in place since at least September 2008. In the process, the pair can now be considered...

I wrote yesterday that “the decline from the July 2008 high (1.6040) can be counted as a 5 wave drop (wave 5 is truncated). 5 waves down at this degree of trend indicate that the long term trend has changed and that a multi-year bear is underway.” The surge through...

As the first full week of the New Year wears on, traders seem to be taking advantage of the influx of liquidity and volatility to turn the market back to trends. However, the high correlation through the the fourth quarter of 2008 seems to be breaking down with the european...